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宏观经济学workshop:Commodity Booms, Productivity, and Misallocation: Evidence from Chile's Administrative Data
发布日期:2026-06-05 11:28 来源:
题目:Commodity Booms, Productivity, and Misallocation: Evidence from Chile's Administrative Data主讲人:Ryan Kim, Seoul National University时间:2026年6月5日 上午10:00 – 11:30地点:北京大学国家发展研究院(承泽园)229
Abstract:
We study how commodity booms affect productivity using administrative microdata from Chile that combine firm exports by products and destinations, employer-employee records, and firm-to-firm production networks. Exploiting differential Chinese demand for Chilean commodities, we construct firm-specific commodity price shocks. We find three micro-level mechanisms. First, more exposed firms experience larger revenue increases but no differential productivity gains, channeling revenues into wages and materials. Second, among exposed firms, low-productivity firms expand employment while high-productivity firms do not, hiring workers from more productive employers. Third, domestic suppliers with greater indirect exposure show larger increases in sales and productivity. We develop a model with heterogeneous export wedges and labor market frictions where commodity booms can reduce sectoral aggregate productivity by exacerbating input misallocation — consistent with both the firm-level and aggregate evidence. Calibrated to Chile, this mechanism explains half of the mining TFP decline from 2005 to 2013.Bio: Ryan Kim is an Associate Professor at Seoul National University. Before that, he was Assistant Professor of International Economics at Johns Hopkins SAIS from 2018 to 2025. He received his Ph.D. in Economics from Columbia University. His main research fields are macroeconomics and international trade, with a secondary field in corporate finance. His work appears in leading journals including the Quarterly Journal of Economics and Econometrica.
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