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宏观workshop:TWO STAGES OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
发布日期：2017-04-25 09:42 来源：北京大学国家发展研究院
时间：2017年4月25日下午13:30-15:30
地点：朗润园万众楼小教室
主持人：霍德明、王敏、赵波
主讲人：龚刚题目: TWO STAGES OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
主讲人简介：云南财经大学首席教授、经济学院院长、金融研究院院长；美国New School University 经济学博士；国家社科基金重大项目《新常态下中国经济增长的新动力及新增长点研究》首席专家；《政治经济学报》主编；国际学术杂志Metroeconomica（SSCI）顾问委员会委员；曾任职于南非国家政策研究所，德国Bielefeld 大学，清华大学经济管理学院和南开大学经济学院；现为北京大学国家发展研究院的访问教授。主要研究领域为宏观经济学，发展经济学，开放宏观经济学，金融经济学和中国经济等。个人主页 http://www.gong-home.com/。
摘要:This study suggests that the development process of a less-developed country can be divided into two stages, which demonstrate significantly different properties in areas such as structural endowments, production modes, income distribution, and the forces that drive economic growth. The two stages of economic development have been indicated in the growth theory of macroeconomics and in the various “turning point” theories in development economics, including Lewis’s dual economy theory, Kuznets curve, and the middle-income trap. A dynamic macroeconomic model is constructed to simulate the development process that reveals these two stages. Using the two-stage theory of economic development, we find that the People’s Republic of China’s economy is currently at the intersection between the first and second stages. This is the definition of “new normal” in the current Chinese economy.
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宏观workshop:TWO STAGES OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
发布日期：2017-04-25 09:42 来源：北京大学国家发展研究院
时间：2017年4月25日下午13:30-15:30
地点：朗润园万众楼小教室
主持人：霍德明、王敏、赵波
主讲人：龚刚题目: TWO STAGES OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
主讲人简介：云南财经大学首席教授、经济学院院长、金融研究院院长；美国New School University 经济学博士；国家社科基金重大项目《新常态下中国经济增长的新动力及新增长点研究》首席专家；《政治经济学报》主编；国际学术杂志Metroeconomica（SSCI）顾问委员会委员；曾任职于南非国家政策研究所，德国Bielefeld 大学，清华大学经济管理学院和南开大学经济学院；现为北京大学国家发展研究院的访问教授。主要研究领域为宏观经济学，发展经济学，开放宏观经济学，金融经济学和中国经济等。个人主页 http://www.gong-home.com/。
摘要:This study suggests that the development process of a less-developed country can be divided into two stages, which demonstrate significantly different properties in areas such as structural endowments, production modes, income distribution, and the forces that drive economic growth. The two stages of economic development have been indicated in the growth theory of macroeconomics and in the various “turning point” theories in development economics, including Lewis’s dual economy theory, Kuznets curve, and the middle-income trap. A dynamic macroeconomic model is constructed to simulate the development process that reveals these two stages. Using the two-stage theory of economic development, we find that the People’s Republic of China’s economy is currently at the intersection between the first and second stages. This is the definition of “new normal” in the current Chinese economy.
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