宏观workshop:Non-Tariff Trade Barriers in the U.S.-China Trade War

发布日期:2023-09-22 12:00    来源:

题目: Non-Tariff Trade Barriers in the U.S.-China Trade War

时间:2023年9月22日 上午10:00-11:30

地点:承泽园 245教室

主讲人:陈拓 (清华大学)

摘要:We use Chinese customs data to show that unofficial non-tariff barriers were responsible for 50\% of the overall reduction in Chinese imports from the U.S. during the height of the U.S.-China trade war in 2018 and 2019.  We infer non-tariff barriers from the change in imports of U.S. products relative to imports from other countries of the same HS-6 product, after controlling for the change in the relative price of U.S. imports to the same product sold by other countries.  Non-tariff barriers were imposed on a small number of agricultural products, did not apply to state-owned importers, and larger for products with a high share of state importers in total imports.  Non-tariff barriers were responsible for more than 90\% of the welfare cost to Chinese consumers of the U.S.-China trade war.  The welfare loss to China of a given reduction in imports from the U.S. from non-tariff barriers is about six times larger than an equivalent import decline due to higher tariffs.  Non-tariff barriers are more costly compared to tariffs because they applied to some importers and not others, which results in misallocation, and because non-tariff barriers do not generate revenues.

主讲人简介:清华大学经管学院经济系助理教授,美国哥伦比亚大学经济学博士。主要研究兴趣在宏观经济学,并运用微观数据研究宏观问题。


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