[11月26日]发展经济学workshop

发布日期:2014-11-24 21:40    来源:北京大学国家发展研究院

时间:11月26日周三下午2—3:30 地点:国家发展研究院小教室 主讲人: Shuaizhang Feng of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics 题目:    Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China: Long Run Trends and Short Run Dynamics   摘要   Using nationally representative Chinese household survey data, this paper reports for the rst time China's unemployment rates and labor force participation rates from 1988 to 2009. The unemployment rate averaged 3.4% in 1988-1995, but has since risen sharply during the period of mass lay-off from State-owned-enterprises in 1995-2002, and reached an average of 8.4% in the subperiod from 2002 to 2009. Labor force participation rate has declined throughout the whole period, particularly in 1995-2002 when unemployment rates increased most significantly. We also report results for different demographic groups, different regions, and different cohorts. Lastly, we use matched monthly data to study labor market dynamics for the period of 2004-2006, and show that the Chinese labor market is characterized by very low mobility among different labor force statuses and the prevalence of long-term unemployment.